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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 211442
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM VICENTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018
1500 UTC SUN OCT 21 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF VICENTE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 96.8W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 96.8W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 96.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.2N 98.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.4N 99.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.4N 101.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.9N 102.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.7N 104.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 96.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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