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641
WTPZ43 KNHC 120837
TCDEP3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Paul Discussion Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182018
200 AM PDT Wed Sep 12 2018

For the first time since 14 August, the northeast Pacific has no tropical cyclones. Paul has lacked organized deep convection for over 12 hours and has therefore been declared a remnant low. The initial intensity is still 30 kt, based on ASCAT data from around 0500 UTC which showed a few wind vectors between 25 and 30 kt, but weakening should resume soon due to the lack of deep convection. The remnant low is moving west at around 8 kt, and a west to west-southwest motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected for the next few days until dissipation occurs later this week.

This is the last NHC advisory on Paul. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/0900Z 22.3N 127.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 12/1800Z 22.4N 128.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 13/0600Z 22.4N 130.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/1800Z 22.4N 131.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 14/0600Z 22.3N 131.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 15/0600Z 21.8N 132.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$ Forecaster Zelinsky



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