Home


000
FOPZ13 KNHC 210845
PWSEP3

TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018
0900 UTC SUN OCT 21 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)

MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 14(26) X(26) X(26)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

15N 100W 34 X 13(13) 42(55) 1(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57)
15N 100W 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
15N 100W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Home