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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MICHAEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018
0900 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

BURGEO NFLD 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

PTX BASQUES 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

SYDNEY NS 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

SABLE ISLAND 34 X 46(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

YARMOUTH NS 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

HYANNIS MA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

NANTUCKET MA 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

MONTAUK POINT 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

OCEAN CITY MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

WALLOPS CDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

CAPE HATTERAS 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

NEW RIVER NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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