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PWSAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

FORT POLK LA 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

LAKE CHARLES 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

CAMERON LA 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

JASPER TX 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

KOUNTZE TX 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

GALVESTON TX 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

HOUSTON TX 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

FREEPORT TX 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

MATAGORDA TX 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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