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AGXX40 KNHC 171746
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
146 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas


...GULF OF MEXICO...

Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen near 22.4N 95.7W 1007 mb at 11 AM EDT moving N at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Sixteen will move to 23.7N 94.2W this evening, 25.8N 91.0W Fri morning, 28.5N 88.0W Fri evening, become extratropical and move to 30.9N 85.0W Sat morning, and 35.5N 77.2W Sun morning. Sixteen will change little in intensity as it moves to the 37.5N 70.0W early Mon, and continue to the 38.0N 66.5W Tue.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

Moderate to fresh trade winds are expected across the basin through the weekend, with fresh SE winds likely across NW portions Fri and Sat as low pressure deepens across the Gulf of Mexico. A tropical wave will reach the Lesser Antilles today, and move across the eastern Caribbean on Fri. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will accompany this wave.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

A cold front extending from 31N75W to central Florida will push eastward into the central Atlantic through Fri night, but stall and weaken east of Florida by Fri morning. A developing area of low pressure in the NE Gulf of Mexico will move across the SE U.S. this weekend, and is likely to produce strong southerly winds ahead of the low across NW Atlc waters.

$$


.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone:


.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE SANCTUARY... Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Fri night.
.GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W... Tropical Storm Warning Fri into Fri night.
.GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... Tropical Storm Warning tonight.
.GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W... Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Fri.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None.


.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Sat night.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$


.Forecaster CAM. National Hurricane Center.

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