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Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 54
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ AL122017
536 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

This product covers NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND

**Tropical Storm Watches have been cancelled for coastal portions of Delaware and New Jersey**

NEW INFORMATION
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* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - All watches and warnings have been canceled

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None

* STORM INFORMATION: - About 360 miles south-southeast of Atlantic City NJ or about 380 miles southeast of Dover DE - 34.8N 71.1W - Storm Intensity 75 mph - Movement North or 360 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
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Hurricane Jose was located approximately 250 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, moving northward at 10 mph this afternoon. A continued northward movement is expected with the hurricane through Tuesday. Jose is then forecast to turn more to the northeast and weaken to a tropical storm Tuesday night into Wednesday. This latest forecast track keeps the center of Jose more than 200 miles off the northern mid-Atlantic coast at its closest point to the forecast area Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning, which is far enough offshore to spare the region from seeing the worst of the winds, heavy rain and storm surge.

The Tropical Storm Watch has been cancelled for all of coastal New Jersey and Delaware but remain in effect for their adjacent coastal waters. Sustained tropical storm-force winds are no longer expected to occur over land. It will still be breezy at the coast on Tuesday with north to northeast winds 20 to 30 mph and gusts up to 40 mph.

Minor to moderate coastal flooding is still expected to occur through at least Wednesday morning. A storm surge of 1 to 2 feet above ground level can be expected at times of high tide. There is a potential for locally higher storm surge between 2 and 3 feet above ground level to produce moderate coastal flooding for the ocean front and back bays communities at high tide Tuesday evening. A Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for these areas.

The threat of flooding from Jose has decreased across the area with the axis for heavy rain shifting to our east.

Regardless of the track, hazardous seas and dangerous surf, including a high risk for the formation of life threatening rip currents, will still occur through most the week. Moderate beach erosion is also expected, especially Tuesday and Tuesday evening when both winds and waves ramp up.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
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* SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across coastal locales in Delaware and New Jersey. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation is possible with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots could become overspread with surge water. Dangerous driving conditions are possible in places where surge water covers the road. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers is possible. A few small craft may be broken away from moorings.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS: Hazardous seas and dangerous surf is expected ahead of and with the passage of Jose. Moderate beach erosion is expected with the heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. There is a high risk for life-threatening rip currents.

* WIND: Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across New Jersey and Delaware.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
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When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties which must be taken into account.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as near the ocean, in a low lying or poor drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of others.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
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As it pertains to this event...this will be the last local statement issued by the National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ regarding the effects of tropical cyclone hazards upon the area.

$$

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