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WTNT22 KNHC 210851
TCMAT2

HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020
0900 UTC WED OCT 21 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 58.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......380NE 80SE 50SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..750NE 390SE 510SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 58.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 57.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.5N 59.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...310NE 100SE 70SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.4N 60.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 140SE 90SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.8N 61.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 90SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.1N 61.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.3N 61.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 110SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 35.8N 61.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...230NE 180SE 140SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 40.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 46.0N 39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 58.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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