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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic

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This product is updated at approximately 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST from May 15 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next five days. Mousing over the symbol for each weather system displays details for that system; clicking on disturbance symbols or numbers toggles a zoomed view on or off. For additional NHC products on active tropical cyclones, click on the tropical cyclone symbols.

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
230 AM EST Thu Dec 8 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for 
subtropical development over the central Atlantic.

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have increased since last evening near a 
large non-tropical area of low pressure located over the central 
subtropical Atlantic about 850 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.  
However, the system remains embedded within a frontal zone, which is 
expected to become more pronounced later today as the low begins to 
move east-northeastward at 20 to 25 mph toward colder waters and 
interact with a mid-latitude trough.  Therefore, while the system 
could show some subtropical characteristics today, its chances to 
fully transition to a subtropical or tropical cyclone appear to be 
decreasing.  Nevertheless, significant non-tropical development of 
this low is expected during the next couple of days, and additional 
information, including hurricane-force wind warnings, can be found 
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.  The 
next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued 
by 9 AM EST Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at

Forecaster Berg