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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next five days. Mousing over the symbol for each weather system displays details for that system; clicking on disturbance symbols or numbers toggles a zoomed view on or off. For additional NHC products on active tropical cyclones, click on the tropical cyclone symbols.

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of low pressure located about 60 miles east-southeast of 
Wilmington, North Carolina, continues to produce a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the adjacent Atlantic 
waters and portions of eastern North Carolina.  The low is expected 
to move northeastward near or just offshore of the North Carolina 
Outer Banks on Thursday, and then turn north-northeastward and move 
along the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday. Environmental conditions 
are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical or 
subtropical cyclone is likely to form within the next day or so. 
Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce locally 
heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across portions 
of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and southern 
New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also possible 
along the North Carolina Outer Banks through Thursday, and along 
the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and 
Saturday. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of 
this system and refer to products from your local National Weather 
Service office. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart