513 
WTNT80 EGRR 151613

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.02.2024

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 23.2S  39.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.02.2024  23.6S  39.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 17.02.2024  24.0S  38.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.02.2024  25.2S  37.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.02.2024  25.5S  38.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.02.2024  26.6S  38.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.02.2024  27.9S  38.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.02.2024  30.2S  38.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.02.2024  31.7S  38.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.02.2024  32.8S  37.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.02.2024  32.7S  36.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.02.2024  32.5S  37.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.02.2024  32.9S  38.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.02.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151613