881 
WTNT80 EGRR 040409

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.02.2024

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 26.6N  88.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.02.2024  28.4N  86.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.02.2024  31.2N  85.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.02.2024  31.0N  85.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.02.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 25.5N  76.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.02.2024  25.5N  76.2W   MODERATE
 12UTC 06.02.2024  27.6N  70.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.02.2024  31.6N  66.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.02.2024  33.0N  63.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.02.2024  35.5N  60.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.02.2024  36.3N  60.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.02.2024  35.6N  59.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.02.2024  35.6N  57.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.02.2024  34.7N  54.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.02.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 040409