370 
WTNT80 EGRR 210410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.01.2024

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 23.6S  39.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.01.2024  24.5S  37.3W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.01.2024  26.3S  34.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.01.2024  28.9S  31.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.01.2024  32.7S  28.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.01.2024  34.8S  27.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.01.2024  34.2S  25.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.01.2024  34.1S  22.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.01.2024  34.5S  19.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.01.2024  35.8S  15.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.01.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 21.4S  34.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.01.2024  21.9S  34.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 26.01.2024  23.1S  34.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.01.2024  23.6S  34.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.01.2024  22.8S  35.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.01.2024  24.0S  34.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 210410