014 WTNT80 EGRR 140410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.12.2023 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 24.5N 43.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.12.2023 24.5N 43.4W WEAK 12UTC 14.12.2023 25.9N 42.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.12.2023 27.5N 43.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.12.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 29.1N 83.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.12.2023 29.1N 83.2W MODERATE 00UTC 18.12.2023 33.9N 81.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 18.12.2023 40.4N 79.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.12.2023 45.0N 77.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.12.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 24.1N 43.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.12.2023 25.0N 43.8W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.12.2023 24.5N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.12.2023 25.5N 50.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.12.2023 25.7N 53.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.12.2023 26.2N 55.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 140410