042 
WTNT80 EGRR 050409

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.12.2023

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 34.0N  74.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.12.2023  34.0N  74.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.12.2023  36.3N  69.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.12.2023  37.8N  63.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.12.2023  39.7N  55.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.12.2023  47.0N  44.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.12.2023  51.1N  41.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 09.12.2023  53.1N  38.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.12.2023  53.5N  38.0W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 10.12.2023  52.0N  37.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.12.2023  50.8N  35.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.12.2023  49.2N  31.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.12.2023  50.2N  23.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.12.2023  51.7N  17.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050409