811 
WTNT80 EGRR 231609

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.11.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.9N 121.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.11.2023  11.9N 121.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.11.2023  13.1N 122.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 26.2N  42.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.11.2023  26.2N  42.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.11.2023  26.1N  41.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.11.2023  26.9N  40.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.11.2023  27.7N  37.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.11.2023  29.1N  34.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.11.2023  31.7N  31.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.11.2023  35.3N  30.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.11.2023  37.9N  28.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.11.2023  39.2N  26.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.11.2023  40.5N  25.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.11.2023  41.9N  22.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.11.2023  41.6N  19.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.11.2023  41.4N  13.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 31.6N  78.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.11.2023  31.6N  78.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.11.2023  33.1N  72.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.11.2023  36.8N  64.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.11.2023  44.2N  55.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 231609