238 
WTNT80 EGRR 201610

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.11.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94E        ANALYSED POSITION :  9.6N 118.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP942023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.11.2023   9.6N 118.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.11.2023  10.6N 118.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.11.2023  11.3N 119.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.11.2023  11.9N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.11.2023  12.5N 119.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.11.2023  12.7N 120.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.11.2023  12.9N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.11.2023  13.3N 122.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.11.2023  13.6N 122.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.11.2023  14.2N 123.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.11.2023  14.7N 123.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.11.2023  14.9N 123.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.11.2023  15.7N 123.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.11.2023  16.7N 123.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99L        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N  73.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.11.2023  14.0N  73.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 27.3N  48.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.11.2023  26.5N  47.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.11.2023  25.0N  46.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.11.2023  24.7N  46.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.11.2023  24.8N  45.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.11.2023  25.0N  44.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.11.2023  26.7N  41.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.11.2023  29.4N  38.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.11.2023  33.6N  38.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.11.2023  36.9N  38.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.11.2023  38.7N  38.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 37.0N  70.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.11.2023  37.0N  70.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.11.2023  40.2N  65.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.11.2023  45.0N  60.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 201610