554 
WTNT80 EGRR 171611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.11.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22L        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N  79.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL222023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.11.2023  16.5N  79.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 28.2N  67.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.11.2023  29.6N  66.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.11.2023  35.5N  60.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.11.2023  42.7N  53.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.11.2023  51.4N  45.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.11.2023  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 10.6N 117.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.11.2023  10.8N 118.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 21.11.2023  11.5N 118.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.11.2023  12.0N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.11.2023  12.4N 120.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.11.2023  12.3N 121.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.11.2023  12.5N 122.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.11.2023  12.7N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.11.2023  13.4N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 32.5N  76.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.11.2023  33.1N  74.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 24.11.2023  35.0N  65.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171611