713 WTNT80 EGRR 160410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.11.2023 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 81.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.11.2023 12.5N 81.0W WEAK 12UTC 16.11.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 27.8N 88.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.11.2023 27.8N 88.1W WEAK 12UTC 16.11.2023 26.2N 88.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2023 24.7N 88.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 21.5N 74.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.11.2023 22.5N 72.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.11.2023 28.4N 67.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.11.2023 34.3N 62.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.11.2023 42.5N 54.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.11.2023 51.5N 46.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.11.2023 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 10.7N 118.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.11.2023 11.2N 118.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 21.11.2023 11.6N 119.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.11.2023 11.9N 120.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.11.2023 12.0N 120.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.11.2023 12.2N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 160410