699 
WTNT80 EGRR 151610

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.11.2023

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 28.0N  88.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.11.2023  28.0N  88.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.11.2023  27.4N  88.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2023  26.0N  88.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2023  24.7N  87.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 19.2N  77.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.11.2023  19.4N  76.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.11.2023  23.4N  72.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.11.2023  29.0N  67.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.11.2023  37.5N  60.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.11.2023  48.0N  53.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151610