203 
WTNT80 EGRR 150410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.11.2023

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 28.3N  88.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.11.2023  28.3N  88.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.11.2023  27.6N  87.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2023  26.4N  88.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 23.0N  74.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.11.2023  24.7N  72.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.11.2023  30.3N  67.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.11.2023  38.8N  61.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.11.2023  50.9N  55.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2023  POST-TROPICAL


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150410