866 
WTNT80 EGRR 171611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.10.2023

        TROPICAL STORM IANOS      ANALYSED POSITION : 39.4N  17.8E

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : ME012020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2023  39.4N  17.8E     WEAK
 00UTC 18.10.2023  37.2N  22.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2023  36.3N  29.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2023  36.0N  31.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N 106.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP902023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2023  13.4N 106.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.10.2023  12.8N 108.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2023  14.5N 108.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2023  15.1N 108.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2023  16.0N 109.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2023  16.7N 109.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2023  17.7N 110.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2023  19.2N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2023  20.2N 112.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2023  21.6N 113.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2023  20.6N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2023  20.1N 113.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2023  19.6N 113.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2023  19.3N 113.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2023  19.3N 113.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.0N  43.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2023  11.0N  43.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 36.7N  52.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.10.2023  36.7N  52.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 20.10.2023  38.4N  43.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2023  37.9N  34.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2023  36.1N  27.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.10.2023  33.1N  24.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2023  30.5N  20.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.10.2023  30.0N  17.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171611