189 
WTNT80 EGRR 151610

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.10.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEAN       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.6N  46.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL192023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.10.2023  17.6N  46.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.10.2023  18.0N  48.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2023  18.1N  51.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L        ANALYSED POSITION :  9.5N  32.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.10.2023   9.5N  32.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 40.2N  10.7E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.10.2023  40.3N  12.4E     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.10.2023  40.5N  18.0E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2023  38.1N  23.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 13.0N 108.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.10.2023  13.1N 109.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.10.2023  13.3N 110.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2023  14.7N 111.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2023  15.7N 111.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2023  16.3N 112.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2023  17.3N 112.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2023  18.3N 114.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151610