854 WTNT80 EGRR 101611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.10.2023 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAX ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 106.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2023 18.7N 106.1W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LIDIA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 108.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2023 18.9N 108.3W STRONG 00UTC 11.10.2023 20.2N 105.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2023 22.9N 102.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.0N 30.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2023 10.0N 30.0W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2023 10.2N 32.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2023 10.9N 35.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 11.4N 36.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 11.7N 38.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2023 12.3N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2023 13.1N 42.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2023 14.0N 43.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2023 15.2N 45.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2023 16.5N 46.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2023 17.9N 47.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2023 18.9N 49.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2023 19.5N 50.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2023 20.1N 51.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.10.2023 20.3N 53.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93L ANALYSED POSITION : 21.2N 94.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL932023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2023 21.2N 94.5W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2023 22.5N 95.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2023 24.6N 95.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 27.1N 91.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 29.2N 88.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 35.9N 52.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2023 35.9N 52.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 35.9N 50.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 35.9N 48.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2023 35.0N 47.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2023 34.3N 45.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2023 34.9N 42.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2023 36.1N 39.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2023 36.5N 35.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2023 35.9N 31.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 30.7N 73.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.10.2023 30.7N 73.5W WEAK 12UTC 13.10.2023 29.8N 67.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2023 28.3N 65.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2023 27.8N 62.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2023 28.0N 60.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2023 29.1N 59.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2023 30.8N 57.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 29.7N 35.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.10.2023 29.7N 35.5W WEAK 12UTC 17.10.2023 27.5N 34.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101611