581 WTNT80 EGRR 090411 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.10.2023 TROPICAL STORM MAX ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 102.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2023 15.9N 102.0W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2023 16.7N 101.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LIDIA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.6N 112.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2023 17.6N 112.7W MODERATE 12UTC 09.10.2023 18.4N 112.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 18.8N 110.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 19.3N 108.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 20.0N 106.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.3N 24.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2023 10.3N 24.7W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 33.8N 49.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2023 34.4N 47.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2023 35.8N 44.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2023 37.3N 44.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2023 36.4N 44.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2023 35.9N 41.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2023 36.5N 35.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2023 37.0N 30.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.6N 46.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.10.2023 14.2N 47.3W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.10.2023 15.9N 48.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2023 17.8N 49.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2023 19.2N 49.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2023 20.3N 49.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 29.1N 55.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.10.2023 29.1N 55.5W WEAK 12UTC 14.10.2023 30.0N 52.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2023 32.0N 46.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090411