569 
WTNT80 EGRR 080410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.10.2023

        TROPICAL STORM LIDIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 112.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2023  16.2N 112.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 08.10.2023  17.2N 113.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2023  18.0N 113.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2023  18.9N 113.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2023  19.5N 112.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023  19.7N 110.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2023  20.2N 108.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2023  22.2N 106.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N 100.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2023  13.5N 100.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.10.2023  15.0N 100.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2023  16.0N 102.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2023  17.0N 102.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2023  17.7N 102.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 33.7N  35.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.10.2023  34.3N  32.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.10.2023  36.6N  27.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2023  43.2N  19.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2023  46.9N  17.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2023  47.3N  15.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2023  47.2N  11.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2023  47.2N   7.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2023  46.0N   3.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 26.1N  51.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2023  26.2N  51.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080410