823 
WTNT80 EGRR 071611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.10.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N  98.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.10.2023  13.5N  98.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.10.2023  14.2N  99.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2023  15.2N 101.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2023  15.7N 102.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2023  16.8N 103.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2023  17.4N 103.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023  18.9N 102.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM LIDIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 111.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.10.2023  15.9N 111.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 08.10.2023  16.6N 112.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2023  17.5N 113.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2023  18.3N 113.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2023  18.9N 113.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2023  18.9N 113.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023  18.9N 111.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2023  18.9N 109.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2023  19.4N 107.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.10.2023  20.3N 105.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 12.3N 120.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2023  12.3N 120.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.10.2023  12.2N 118.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2023  12.0N 115.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2023  12.3N 111.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 36.1N  53.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.10.2023  36.1N  53.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.10.2023  37.0N  51.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.10.2023  37.5N  50.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2023  35.5N  48.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2023  35.1N  45.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2023  34.9N  43.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2023  34.9N  41.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071611