322 WTNT80 EGRR 070411 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.10.2023 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 111.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2023 16.1N 111.3W MODERATE 12UTC 07.10.2023 16.3N 112.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2023 16.6N 112.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2023 17.2N 113.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2023 18.0N 113.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2023 18.4N 113.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 18.8N 112.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 18.9N 111.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 19.2N 109.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2023 19.9N 107.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 21.1N 106.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 22.5N 106.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2023 23.4N 106.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N 96.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2023 12.7N 96.6W WEAK 12UTC 07.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.4N 143.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2023 10.4N 143.9W WEAK 00UTC 08.10.2023 10.7N 145.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2023 10.8N 146.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2023 11.1N 148.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2023 11.7N 149.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 12.3N 151.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 12.5N 152.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 10.5N 127.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2023 10.5N 127.7W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2023 10.5N 127.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 11.1N 126.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 11.2N 124.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 11.9N 123.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2023 11.9N 121.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 11.7N 119.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 11.6N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2023 11.5N 114.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2023 11.9N 110.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.8N 102.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2023 15.8N 102.5W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2023 16.8N 102.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 17.9N 102.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 36.5N 64.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2023 37.3N 64.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2023 38.4N 62.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 39.7N 61.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2023 40.5N 60.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 33.7N 55.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2023 33.7N 55.3W WEAK 00UTC 12.10.2023 33.4N 51.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 34.5N 48.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2023 34.4N 45.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2023 35.4N 42.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2023 36.6N 40.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 25.9N 94.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2023 26.7N 92.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 27.8N 90.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2023 27.6N 88.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 30.3N 80.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.10.2023 30.3N 80.6W WEAK 12UTC 13.10.2023 30.5N 78.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2023 31.1N 76.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070411