030 
WTNT80 EGRR 060410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.10.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N  94.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2023  13.0N  94.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 27.4N  66.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2023  27.4N  66.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 06.10.2023  30.8N  65.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2023  33.0N  65.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2023  36.1N  67.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2023  37.8N  66.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2023  42.9N  64.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM LIDIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 109.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2023  16.0N 109.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 06.10.2023  16.2N 109.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2023  16.3N 110.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2023  16.4N 112.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2023  16.7N 113.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2023  17.2N 114.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2023  18.1N 114.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2023  18.6N 114.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2023  19.1N 113.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023  19.5N 112.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2023  20.1N 110.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2023  20.9N 109.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2023  22.5N 109.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2023  24.7N 110.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.10.2023  25.6N 110.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 10.3N 127.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.10.2023  10.5N 126.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2023  11.1N 125.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023  11.6N 123.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2023  12.0N 121.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2023  12.0N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2023  12.0N 116.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2023  12.5N 112.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2023  12.8N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 35.6N  65.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2023  35.9N  63.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2023  37.5N  60.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2023  42.1N  60.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2023  44.2N  60.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2023  47.4N  61.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 060410