168 WTNT80 EGRR 051611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.10.2023 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 93.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2023 12.5N 93.0W WEAK 00UTC 06.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LIDIA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N 109.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2023 15.7N 109.5W WEAK 00UTC 06.10.2023 15.9N 109.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2023 16.0N 110.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2023 16.0N 111.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2023 16.4N 112.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2023 16.6N 114.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2023 17.0N 115.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2023 17.7N 116.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2023 18.0N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 18.0N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 17.8N 116.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 17.3N 115.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2023 16.9N 113.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 17.1N 111.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 17.7N 110.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N 66.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.10.2023 24.2N 66.3W WEAK 00UTC 06.10.2023 27.2N 66.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2023 29.8N 66.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2023 32.7N 67.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2023 34.9N 67.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2023 37.7N 64.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2023 42.8N 65.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 10.5N 127.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2023 10.5N 127.9W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2023 11.0N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 11.6N 125.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 11.9N 124.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 18.3N 106.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2023 18.3N 106.6W WEAK 12UTC 10.10.2023 18.5N 106.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 19.1N 106.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2023 19.8N 105.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 36.1N 64.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2023 36.1N 64.5W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2023 40.9N 59.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2023 46.7N 55.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 50.6N 53.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 52.8N 53.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 10.3N 31.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2023 10.3N 31.6W WEAK 12UTC 11.10.2023 11.4N 34.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2023 12.3N 35.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2023 12.9N 37.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051611