256 WTNT80 EGRR 040410 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.10.2023 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 65.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.10.2023 19.5N 65.6W WEAK 12UTC 04.10.2023 21.9N 65.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2023 23.3N 66.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2023 25.0N 65.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2023 28.4N 66.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2023 30.6N 65.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2023 33.2N 66.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2023 36.3N 67.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2023 42.0N 68.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2023 49.0N 70.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2023 51.3N 74.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.10.2023 53.6N 74.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 10.10.2023 54.5N 74.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2023 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM LIDIA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N 107.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.10.2023 13.2N 107.2W WEAK 12UTC 04.10.2023 14.5N 108.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2023 15.2N 108.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2023 15.7N 110.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2023 16.3N 110.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2023 15.6N 112.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2023 15.3N 113.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2023 15.0N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2023 15.0N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2023 15.0N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2023 15.0N 118.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2023 15.1N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 15.2N 120.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 15.3N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 14.7N 121.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.5N 128.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2023 11.4N 128.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2023 11.4N 129.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2023 11.3N 129.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 11.3N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 11.4N 129.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 11.6N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 15.5N 106.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2023 16.3N 107.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2023 16.0N 108.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2023 16.1N 109.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2023 15.7N 108.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2023 15.3N 108.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 040410