776 
WTNT80 EGRR 031611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.10.2023

        TROPICAL STORM LIDIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 106.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.10.2023  11.4N 106.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.10.2023  13.0N 106.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2023  14.4N 107.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2023  15.7N 108.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2023  16.2N 110.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2023  16.5N 111.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2023  16.4N 112.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2023  15.8N 113.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2023  15.7N 115.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2023  15.1N 116.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2023  15.1N 117.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2023  15.6N 118.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2023  15.3N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2023  14.8N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023  14.1N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 18.8N  63.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.10.2023  18.8N  63.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.10.2023  19.5N  64.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2023  21.5N  64.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2023  23.3N  65.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2023  24.6N  65.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2023  27.8N  64.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2023  30.3N  67.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2023  33.3N  69.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.10.2023  33.9N  68.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2023  37.7N  65.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2023  43.8N  63.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 12.0N 131.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.10.2023  12.0N 131.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2023  11.9N 131.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2023  11.8N 131.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2023  12.0N 132.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023  11.9N 132.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 16.4N 108.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.10.2023  16.4N 108.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.10.2023  16.5N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2023  16.2N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 031611