642 
WTNT80 EGRR 021612

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.10.2023

        TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE   ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N  60.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2023  17.3N  60.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.10.2023  18.0N  61.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2023  19.2N  61.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2023  20.5N  62.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2023  22.2N  63.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2023  24.0N  64.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2023  26.1N  65.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2023  28.5N  65.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2023  31.2N  66.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2023  33.8N  67.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2023  36.5N  67.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2023  40.5N  65.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2023  46.1N  64.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E        ANALYSED POSITION : 10.4N 102.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2023  10.4N 102.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.10.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 38.7N  22.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.10.2023  38.7N  22.5W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021612