597 WTNT80 EGRR 300411 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.09.2023 TROPICAL STORM RINA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.2N 48.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.09.2023 20.2N 48.3W WEAK 12UTC 30.09.2023 21.3N 49.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2023 22.8N 51.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.10.2023 24.4N 52.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2023 26.6N 52.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.10.2023 28.9N 51.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2023 31.6N 48.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 55.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.09.2023 17.7N 55.5W WEAK 12UTC 30.09.2023 17.5N 56.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2023 17.5N 57.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.10.2023 18.0N 58.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2023 18.1N 59.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.10.2023 19.1N 60.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2023 19.5N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2023 20.9N 62.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2023 22.2N 63.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2023 23.9N 63.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2023 25.4N 62.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2023 27.9N 62.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2023 30.0N 62.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.10.2023 32.2N 61.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2023 34.0N 59.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 38.8N 57.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.10.2023 38.8N 57.4W WEAK 12UTC 03.10.2023 36.5N 57.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2023 34.8N 56.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.10.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 29.6N 69.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2023 29.9N 69.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2023 30.6N 68.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300411