423 
WTNT80 EGRR 201611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.09.2023

             HURRICANE NIGEL      ANALYSED POSITION : 35.1N  54.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.09.2023  35.1N  54.8W    STRONG
 00UTC 21.09.2023  38.1N  52.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2023  41.0N  46.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.09.2023  43.4N  39.1W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.09.2023  45.7N  30.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2023  48.9N  23.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2023  54.5N  19.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.09.2023  POST-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM KENNETH    ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 123.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.09.2023  15.5N 123.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.09.2023  16.0N 124.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2023  16.7N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2023  18.1N 126.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2023  19.2N 126.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 35.5N  74.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.09.2023  35.5N  74.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.09.2023  37.7N  72.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2023  40.9N  67.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2023  43.6N  62.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2023  43.9N  58.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 201611