827 
WTNT80 EGRR 171611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.09.2023

        TROPICAL STORM MARGOT     ANALYSED POSITION : 34.2N  42.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.09.2023  34.2N  42.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.09.2023  35.3N  43.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2023  37.2N  44.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2023  38.7N  42.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2023  38.9N  37.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2023  38.0N  34.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2023  37.0N  32.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2023  36.1N  31.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2023  35.8N  31.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2023  36.7N  31.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM NIGEL      ANALYSED POSITION : 23.3N  49.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.09.2023  23.3N  49.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.09.2023  25.1N  49.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2023  26.7N  51.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2023  28.4N  52.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2023  29.9N  54.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2023  31.9N  55.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2023  34.2N  54.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2023  36.9N  52.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2023  39.7N  48.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.09.2023  41.9N  42.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.09.2023  45.5N  33.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2023  50.2N  25.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.09.2023  55.0N  24.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.09.2023  POST-TROPICAL

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 142.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.09.2023  13.1N 142.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 110.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.09.2023  12.5N 110.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 16.6N  41.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.09.2023  16.6N  41.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.09.2023  17.8N  45.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2023  17.8N  48.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171611