996 
WTNT80 EGRR 120412

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.09.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N  31.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL972023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2023  12.3N  31.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE MARGOT     ANALYSED POSITION : 27.5N  39.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2023  27.5N  39.8W   MODERATE
 12UTC 12.09.2023  30.0N  39.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.09.2023  32.0N  40.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2023  33.5N  41.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2023  34.5N  42.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.09.2023  35.6N  41.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2023  36.2N  41.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2023  36.7N  40.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2023  36.3N  40.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2023  35.8N  41.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2023  35.9N  44.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2023  36.9N  46.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2023  39.7N  46.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2023  43.0N  43.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2023  45.2N  35.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N  21.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2023  11.5N  21.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE LEE        ANALYSED POSITION : 23.9N  64.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2023  23.9N  64.4W   INTENSE
 12UTC 12.09.2023  24.2N  65.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.09.2023  24.8N  66.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.09.2023  26.0N  67.2W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.09.2023  27.6N  67.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2023  29.5N  68.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2023  31.7N  67.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2023  34.2N  66.8W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 16.09.2023  37.8N  65.9W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.09.2023  41.4N  65.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2023  44.7N  65.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.09.2023  47.6N  63.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.09.2023  49.8N  60.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2023  51.2N  54.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 19.3N  46.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2023  19.3N  46.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.09.2023  20.8N  48.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2023  23.3N  50.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2023  24.8N  51.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2023  25.9N  55.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2023  28.0N  57.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 120412