513 
WTNT80 EGRR 110410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.09.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA       ANALYSED POSITION : 25.0N 128.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2023  25.0N 128.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.09.2023  24.7N 128.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2023  24.3N 129.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97L        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.8N  29.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL972023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2023  13.8N  29.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.09.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM MARGOT     ANALYSED POSITION : 24.0N  40.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2023  24.0N  40.3W   MODERATE
 12UTC 11.09.2023  25.3N  39.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2023  27.5N  39.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2023  29.7N  39.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.09.2023  32.0N  40.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2023  33.4N  41.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2023  34.3N  42.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.09.2023  35.3N  42.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2023  36.3N  41.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2023  37.1N  41.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2023  37.0N  41.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2023  36.9N  42.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2023  37.4N  43.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2023  38.6N  44.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2023  40.1N  44.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE LEE        ANALYSED POSITION : 22.3N  61.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.09.2023  22.3N  61.9W   INTENSE
 12UTC 11.09.2023  23.2N  63.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.09.2023  23.7N  64.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2023  24.1N  65.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2023  24.7N  66.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2023  25.7N  67.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2023  27.0N  67.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2023  28.8N  67.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2023  30.3N  67.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2023  32.0N  67.5W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.09.2023  34.7N  66.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2023  38.0N  66.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2023  40.6N  66.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2023  42.3N  66.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2023  44.7N  63.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 22.3N  48.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.09.2023  22.3N  48.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 17.09.2023  23.6N  50.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2023  25.5N  51.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 110410