065 WTNT80 EGRR 091613 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.09.2023 TROPICAL STORM JOVA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 125.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2023 22.0N 125.3W MODERATE 00UTC 10.09.2023 23.0N 126.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.09.2023 24.0N 127.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2023 24.5N 128.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2023 24.6N 129.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2023 24.2N 130.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM MARGOT ANALYSED POSITION : 20.2N 37.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2023 20.2N 37.5W WEAK 00UTC 10.09.2023 21.1N 39.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2023 22.3N 40.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2023 23.9N 40.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2023 24.6N 41.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2023 26.2N 41.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2023 28.1N 41.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.09.2023 29.8N 41.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.09.2023 31.7N 41.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2023 33.0N 42.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2023 33.6N 42.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2023 34.4N 42.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2023 35.3N 41.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2023 36.0N 42.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2023 36.4N 42.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.8N 57.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2023 19.8N 57.7W INTENSE 00UTC 10.09.2023 20.6N 58.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.09.2023 21.4N 60.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2023 22.2N 61.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2023 22.8N 62.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2023 23.2N 64.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2023 23.5N 65.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2023 23.8N 66.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.09.2023 24.1N 67.3W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.09.2023 24.6N 67.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2023 25.8N 67.7W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2023 27.3N 67.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2023 28.8N 67.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2023 30.3N 66.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2023 32.2N 66.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 33.3N 18.7E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2023 33.3N 18.7E WEAK 00UTC 10.09.2023 32.4N 19.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2023 31.5N 21.3E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2023 30.1N 23.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2023 29.1N 26.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 17.6N 41.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.09.2023 17.6N 41.7W WEAK 00UTC 16.09.2023 19.1N 43.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2023 20.7N 45.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 091613