564 WTNT80 EGRR 011612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.09.2023 HURRICANE FRANKLIN ANALYSED POSITION : 38.3N 56.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2023 38.3N 56.5W MODERATE 00UTC 02.09.2023 39.4N 52.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2023 42.7N 47.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2023 44.1N 43.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2023 45.7N 38.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2023 46.1N 33.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2023 46.4N 29.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2023 45.7N 29.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2023 42.2N 28.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2023 38.2N 26.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2023 36.5N 22.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2023 37.4N 19.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2023 38.0N 17.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2023 39.2N 15.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2023 39.0N 13.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION GERT ANALYSED POSITION : 28.5N 54.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2023 28.5N 54.4W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2023 28.6N 53.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2023 28.5N 53.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2023 29.2N 53.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2023 30.8N 52.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 36.6N 54.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2023 36.6N 54.5W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM IDALIA ANALYSED POSITION : 32.1N 68.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2023 32.1N 68.8W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2023 31.7N 66.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2023 31.5N 64.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2023 32.2N 63.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2023 32.9N 61.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2023 34.7N 59.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2023 37.7N 58.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2023 39.4N 56.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2023 41.9N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2023 42.5N 55.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2023 42.1N 54.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2023 42.8N 54.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 19.7N 28.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2023 19.7N 28.3W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2023 20.9N 29.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2023 22.8N 30.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2023 24.0N 31.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 33.3N 19.1E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.09.2023 32.4N 17.8E WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 07.09.2023 32.7N 17.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2023 31.8N 17.4E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 14.2N 44.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.09.2023 14.2N 44.1W WEAK 00UTC 07.09.2023 14.1N 46.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2023 14.9N 49.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2023 15.4N 51.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2023 16.1N 54.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 011612