457 WTNT80 EGRR 251611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.08.2023 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ANALYSED POSITION : 35.7N 51.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2023 35.7N 51.4W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ANALYSED POSITION : 22.3N 68.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2023 22.3N 68.0W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2023 22.5N 66.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2023 22.8N 66.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2023 23.3N 66.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2023 25.0N 66.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2023 26.5N 67.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2023 28.2N 68.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2023 30.0N 68.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2023 31.7N 68.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2023 33.8N 67.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2023 36.1N 65.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2023 38.3N 61.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2023 41.3N 54.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2023 47.0N 45.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2023 54.5N 37.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 20.3N 45.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2023 20.3N 45.1W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 102.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP912023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2023 12.0N 102.1W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 112.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP922023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.08.2023 12.2N 112.8W WEAK 00UTC 26.08.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.6N 124.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.08.2023 14.6N 124.5W WEAK 00UTC 28.08.2023 17.2N 125.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2023 17.7N 129.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2023 18.4N 131.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 40.1N 5.1E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.08.2023 40.1N 5.1E WEAK 00UTC 28.08.2023 44.4N 8.9E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.08.2023 43.7N 8.9E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2023 43.3N 10.4E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 23.2N 85.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.08.2023 23.2N 85.4W WEAK 12UTC 29.08.2023 25.8N 83.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2023 28.3N 82.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2023 31.7N 80.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2023 32.8N 77.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2023 33.9N 74.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2023 34.3N 71.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2023 34.2N 69.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 8.3N 159.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2023 8.1N 160.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2023 8.2N 162.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2023 8.9N 164.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2023 10.0N 166.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 251611