252 
WTNT80 EGRR 141612

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.08.2023

             HURRICANE FERNANDA   ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 118.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.08.2023  15.9N 118.1W    STRONG
 00UTC 15.08.2023  16.6N 119.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.08.2023  17.5N 121.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.08.2023  18.1N 123.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2023  18.5N 126.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 17.08.2023  19.1N 129.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2023  19.8N 133.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2023  20.2N 136.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2023  20.3N 140.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM GREG       ANALYSED POSITION : 11.2N 140.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.08.2023  11.2N 140.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 15.08.2023  11.6N 142.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2023  11.7N 145.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2023  12.0N 148.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2023  12.0N 150.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2023  12.4N 153.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2023  12.3N 156.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2023  11.8N 158.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.4N 112.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2023  12.4N 112.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.08.2023  13.0N 114.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2023  14.2N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2023  14.5N 118.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2023  16.0N 120.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2023  16.7N 120.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2023  17.8N 122.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2023  18.2N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2023  18.9N 125.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141612