769 
WTNT80 EGRR 111613

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.08.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.9N 109.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.08.2023  11.9N 109.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.08.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE DORA       ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 176.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.08.2023  14.2N 176.9W   INTENSE
 00UTC 12.08.2023  15.6N 179.9W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.08.2023  16.8N 177.5E   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.08.2023  17.8N 175.2E   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2023  18.2N 173.1E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2023  18.6N 171.1E   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.08.2023  19.2N 169.4E     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2023  20.0N 168.3E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2023  21.6N 167.3E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2023  23.4N 166.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2023  25.5N 166.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2023  28.8N 168.0E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2023  32.8N 170.1E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2023  36.8N 170.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2023  38.7N 172.1E     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.0N 116.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.08.2023  15.0N 116.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.08.2023  15.2N 119.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2023  14.9N 121.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2023  14.8N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2023  14.9N 125.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2023  14.7N 128.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2023  14.2N 131.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2023  13.4N 134.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2023  12.8N 136.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2023  12.8N 139.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2023  13.1N 142.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111613