415 
WTNT80 EGRR 100410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.08.2023

             HURRICANE DORA       ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 166.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.08.2023  11.4N 166.5W   INTENSE
 12UTC 10.08.2023  12.0N 169.9W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.08.2023  13.1N 173.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2023  14.4N 176.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2023  15.7N 179.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2023  16.7N 178.3E   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2023  17.4N 175.5E     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2023  17.7N 172.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2023  18.1N 170.2E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2023  19.0N 167.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2023  20.5N 166.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2023  22.0N 165.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2023  23.8N 165.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2023  25.0N 166.1E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2023  26.6N 167.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 24.6N  89.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.08.2023  25.3N  91.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2023  25.8N  93.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2023  26.8N  96.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100410