009 
WTNT80 EGRR 081611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.08.2023

             HURRICANE DORA       ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 154.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.08.2023  11.4N 154.6W    STRONG
 00UTC 09.08.2023  11.7N 158.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2023  12.1N 162.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2023  12.2N 166.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2023  12.6N 170.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2023  13.3N 174.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2023  13.9N 177.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2023  14.7N 179.2E     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2023  15.6N 175.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2023  16.6N 172.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2023  17.4N 169.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2023  18.3N 167.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2023  19.4N 165.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2023  20.9N 164.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2023  22.2N 163.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 38.3N  71.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.08.2023  39.0N  68.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2023  41.9N  62.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2023  45.8N  53.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2023  49.5N  47.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2023  51.7N  42.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2023  52.3N  38.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2023  52.1N  35.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2023  51.6N  31.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2023  50.6N  28.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 36.7N  73.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.08.2023  36.7N  73.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.08.2023  38.4N  68.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2023  40.9N  62.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2023  42.5N  59.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2023  43.6N  53.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081611