586 
WTNT80 EGRR 040409

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.08.2023

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 102.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.08.2023  12.2N 102.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 04.08.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE DORA       ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 122.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052023

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.08.2023  14.2N 122.6W   INTENSE
 12UTC 04.08.2023  14.2N 125.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2023  14.7N 128.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.08.2023  15.1N 132.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.08.2023  15.3N 136.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2023  15.2N 140.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2023  15.0N 144.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2023  15.0N 148.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2023  15.1N 153.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.08.2023  14.9N 158.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 36.7N  53.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.08.2023  36.1N  50.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2023  35.3N  43.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2023  35.3N  38.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2023  36.3N  32.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2023  37.8N  28.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2023        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 040409