655 WTNT80 EGRR 291612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.07.2023 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96L ANALYSED POSITION : 15.0N 45.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL962023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.07.2023 15.0N 45.5W WEAK 00UTC 30.07.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 32.8N 74.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.07.2023 32.8N 74.8W WEAK 12UTC 31.07.2023 34.5N 70.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2023 36.9N 65.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2023 41.0N 58.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.08.2023 44.7N 51.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2023 47.6N 45.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2023 50.0N 39.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2023 51.4N 33.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2023 51.6N 25.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2023 50.8N 18.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 34.2N 77.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.08.2023 33.6N 76.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2023 33.1N 73.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2023 34.7N 68.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2023 37.5N 63.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291612