763 WTNT80 EGRR 081611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.07.2023 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 108.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.07.2023 16.4N 108.7W WEAK 00UTC 09.07.2023 17.9N 110.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.07.2023 18.3N 111.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.07.2023 19.4N 114.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.07.2023 20.1N 115.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.07.2023 21.2N 117.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.07.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 36.7N 74.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.07.2023 38.6N 72.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 12.07.2023 40.7N 70.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2023 42.4N 68.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2023 43.0N 67.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 10.5N 112.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.07.2023 11.7N 114.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2023 11.6N 118.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2023 12.0N 122.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2023 12.5N 125.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2023 13.3N 129.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2023 13.2N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 33.8N 52.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.07.2023 33.1N 52.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.07.2023 34.2N 47.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2023 36.2N 43.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 081611