470 WTNT80 EGRR 291610 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.06.2023 HURRICANE ADRIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 109.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.06.2023 15.9N 109.9W MODERATE 00UTC 30.06.2023 16.3N 111.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.06.2023 16.7N 112.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.07.2023 17.3N 114.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.07.2023 17.7N 116.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.07.2023 18.5N 117.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.07.2023 19.0N 118.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.07.2023 19.4N 120.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2023 19.8N 121.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2023 20.1N 122.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.07.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N 99.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022023 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.06.2023 13.7N 99.5W WEAK 00UTC 30.06.2023 14.1N 99.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.06.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 32.9N 61.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.07.2023 33.1N 62.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 03.07.2023 33.4N 61.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2023 33.9N 61.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2023 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291610