633 
WTNT80 EGRR 100409

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.11.2022

             HURRICANE NICOLE     ANALYSED POSITION : 26.7N  78.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.11.2022  26.7N  78.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 10.11.2022  28.5N  81.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.11.2022  30.0N  84.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.11.2022  32.3N  84.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.11.2022  38.8N  81.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2022  43.9N  73.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.11.2022  47.7N  60.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2022  48.3N  44.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2022  48.7N  30.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2022  50.0N  21.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2022  51.4N  15.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2022  51.7N  12.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2022  50.2N   7.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 29.5N  88.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2022  29.2N  87.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100409